Quick start guide, frequently asked questions, and a glossary of every term you need to know.
No signup. No wallet connection. Just paste a URL and go.
Go to the Backtester app. It runs in your browser — nothing to install.
Open Backtester →Enter any Polymarket event URL. The app loads current market data — YES/NO prices, volume, and expiry.
Open the Builder for crypto events. Pick strikes, see P&L curves across 4 time snapshots. Export as JPG.
Everything you need to know before you start.
DeltaForge is a suite of analytical tools for prediction markets. It helps you backtest positions, model P&L scenarios, and analyze risk before trading. No trading, no custody — just data and visualization.
The Builder takes a Polymarket crypto event and lets you pick positions across multiple strikes. It then projects your P&L across the full crypto price range at 4 time snapshots: now, 1/3 to expiry, 2/3, and at expiry.
Yes. All tools are completely free. No signup, no credit card, no wallet connection required. Open the app and start analyzing positions.
Polymarket for prediction market positions (YES/NO pricing and history) and Binance for crypto spot prices (BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP). All data is pulled live.
The tools help you analyze and understand risk — they don't eliminate it. You still execute trades manually on Polymarket. This is NOT a money button. Use the tools to model scenarios before you commit capital.
The P&L chart shows 4 lines: Now, 1/3 to expiry, 2/3, and At Expiry. As time passes, positions change value. The curves show how your P&L evolves across the crypto price range at each point in time.
The flat zone is the price range on the P&L chart where your position stays near breakeven. A wider flat zone means the underlying crypto can move within that range without significant impact on your position.
DeltaForge is built by a team of prediction market traders and developers. Built for traders who take risk seriously.
No jargon walls. One-line definitions for everything in the app.
A market that pays out $1 if a condition is met, or $0 if not. All Polymarket positions work this way: YES pays $1 if true, NO pays $1 if false.
The price threshold in a crypto event. For "BTC above $85K", $85K is the strike. Each bracket is a separate market you can trade.
How much the market expects the price to move. Higher IV means positions are priced higher because bigger swings are expected.
Positions lose value as they approach expiry. A YES at $0.50 today may drop to $0.30 tomorrow if the underlying hasn't moved. The Builder shows this visually.
The current market price of the underlying crypto asset (BTC, ETH, SOL). Pulled live from Binance.
A combination of multiple PM positions across different strikes. The Builder shows the combined P&L of your entire portfolio.
A chart showing your profit or loss at every possible price of the underlying asset. The main visualization in DeltaForge tools.
A price range in a PM event (e.g. "BTC between $80K-$85K"). Each bracket is a separate YES/NO market you can trade.
A small position left open after taking profit, designed to capture outsized returns if the market moves dramatically in your favor.
The price range on a P&L chart where your position stays near breakeven. A wider flat zone means less sensitivity to price movement.
Open the Backtester and explore your first market. Free, no signup.